My figures show that the race won by Natural Blitz with Plat Scissors runner up last week was far stronger on pace and speed than the other 3YO lead up races such as the Canterbury and Rosehill Guineas.

The finish of the Rosehill Guineas was extremely bunched with plenty of hard luck stories. That usually indicates a lack of depth and quality about the race...which makes me suspicious. The race won by Natural Blitz had a much more spread out field...with much better overall time and late acceleration.

NB and PS both deserve to be well clear of the others in my view. It's a shame they are both drawn wide and the track is wet. This years Derby looks like a 'chaos' race to me. Very wet track, best chances drawn wide....luck in running, fast lanes, slow lanes on the track will have a big impact.