G'day Mav

I had a quick look at them, not a bad day. Big fields should ensure some value .

Race 1 - You'd think that Ascendant is the one here. Good win at EF last time, not bad time, good alley, good jockey. Will be short, but shouldn't be far off them. Divinity Dash was heavily backed last time, when rearing at the start. So i'm prepared to give her another go, especially with the claim. Attemptation, well you gotta give her a show simply because the trainer has been winning everything of late.

Race 2 - Pretty ordinary. Experience ran sensational time at the coast last time out, but i'm not convinced about him being able to put 2 together. Oliver's Magic isn't the most reliable horse either, but with the good alley today and the 1600m, i think he can go close. Fair Ace has been running in great form, but the alley from this start is a nightmare. Mr Lister will be running on as usual, he just can't win.

Race 3 - Rapid reason isn't the worst here. This race he contested last time was infinitely better than this one and he only finished 3 lengths off them. He'll do me at this stage. Absolom seems to save his best for the Gold Coast but he has got talent and if he puts his best foot forward, can win. No doubt about that. Sunlady can improve at odds aswell, from the good alley and on top of the ground.

Race 4 - Pretty tough race. I've stuck with Bold Reason. He's the class of the field and will get a good run. The Big Easy, with the inside alley, is a huge danger though. Has run some quality races in and around town and won't be far off today. Socialist is a chance, but i get the feeling the horse needs the EF straight. That being said, if they go helter skelter up front, that brings Socialist right into it, having that great finishing burst.

Race 5 - Any Suggestion, Algorithm and Bold Matador.

Race 6 - Having seen that every man and his dog will be on Umatrick, i've gone searching for some value. I didn't have much luck. I guess Tellem can bounce back. The win 2 back was sensational, don't know what happened in the Weetwood but this isn't all that strong, so he can go close again. Umatrick is a chance for sure, especially after the huge race he ran at the Coast. Umaprince has always had ability, they just need to get him to the lead. If they do that, he has got a big chance.

Race 7 - Devil Inside has done nothing wrong. She has got the speed to be able to cross (coupled with a great jockey) and has been running great times. The 1200m is the only doubt, but she was strong on the line the other day, so i dont see that as a problem. La Montagna has good ability and can swamp them at the end, if the leaders go hard. The alley is a drawback though. Prang, at the bottom, isn't hopeless either. The horse has ability and from a reasonable alley, can put in a good showing.

Race 8 - Not a great one to finish on, but eh. San Franfrisco doens't win out of turn, but is as honest as they come. Has a lot of placings, and never seems to get much betting attention. Doonan Dancer can run OK while fresh here, he will go forward and try to dictate. Grand Lover can run home hard too, if they go close out in front.

Good luck everyone,

Sven