Your right Darky, I'll play it a bit safer:

PRIMUS
CHURCHILL DOWNS/JUST MAMBO
PATEZZA

Primus will run over the top of them with a decent run. Sepia is a good horse looking for this distance but has bruised front feet and don't expect them to be better yet. The horse is being 'pushed'. Aka his 2nd. last start in those funny shoes noted in 'gear changes' [specifically for bruised feet].