Had some free time today and looked long and hard at tomorrows races in Brissie...feeling super confident with some standouts....a couple of rating specials...these have been going very well..(Umatrick, Strawbery Spy and Any suggestion were the 3 rating specials last week and they did the job)
Race 1,
Hard race this..when rating this race i was innitially surprised to see superfreak rate so high...Cahill and the trainer always rate high with me but i rate the form around this horse down south superior to the class these horses have been racing in...Cant see a natural leader in the race. probably Frottage who could run a very cheeky race ..i've always been a fan of Red Pill but i worry about the tempo ..could be a sit and sprint which wont suit him or Dream Gal.....id be all over Red Pill but i worry about the speed in this race,,,Super Freak for me e/w in a race where there doesnt seem to be a standout.
Race 2,
A race in 2 ...Naval Seal and Star Of Canada ....The Star can fly ...wont be a walk in the park but this horse can run the time to win this and you have to like Mason on these frontrunners...i dont rate anything else in this race
to come close to him...no value at all ...maybe an exacta..
Race 3,
Still not keen on these 2yo races,,,Ascendant took a while to work out what to do last time but did finish off very nicely..Amarnthine stable mate to Heartbreakpass was scratched last week for this...or maybe Heinrich didnt want to take on the better stablemate ?? hmmm...Winaura has the shocker of an alley but has good gate speed..doesnt seem to many worlbeaters in this lot and Winaura has performed against better than this and rates consistently....Jennifer anne impressed last start and Pincess Norma has some ability.....you see why im not not keen on the race....maybe a multi tri..1,2,3,/4,5,7,8 ?? or just go to the bar..
Race 4,
Strawbery Malt ...just to classy for these...one of the best of the day,,,lucky to get $3 i'd reckon as there will be a heap of support for her...loves the track, distance, firstup, the 2kg claim,,, heaps of ticks,...Single Rose never runs a bad race and will again feature and dont forget about Epsom Races who wasnt hopeless last start when there was a stack of support for him..
Race 5,
Mikans run against Scandal Park was huge up north ...drops weight and gets a better alley aswell this time...there doesnt seem to much else in the race that rates consistant enough...Cahill the clincher in a ordianry race....
Race 6,
High Academy wins this !! very confident ....ran a huge race last start ..gets to a better distance,,, the track suits and so should the likely tempo.....the only danger is Bohemian Dancer who was super last start and can race handy or back in the field depending on the tempo....Picablu and Maizy May to fill the other places...
Race 7,
Very interested to see how Picaday goes ,,,i had high hopes for this horse a couple of years ago (straddie)...willing to watch first up tomorrow...The top 2 rate high....Messian if you forget last start is in great form and Consular has to much class not to be in the finish...both are suited by the likey tempo...Star of Asia the other swooper who will like the speed in this race......The poor first up record of Consular leans me towards Messian and Star of Asia ...great race ..
Race 8,
Cognisant was super strong last start......i thought Shilo was very impressive in a harder race..i know the long straight makes him a sitting duck but he looks stronger than this field...i thought he was well weighted in this class..
the swooper i'd be worried about is Mr Sportsman who has a good sprint and should be suited on this track and Cognisant with natural improvement will be there close up...these look the 3...Shilo to good when it counts..
Best , Strawbery Malt, High Academy (specials) ,,,,Messian , Shilo
Best e/w, Superfreak , Winaura
Alot of shorties ...Messian at 8s' in the paper but i wont be holding my breath for those odds,,..maybe Shilo if they risk him because of the barrier..
Good luck all
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