A simple system...
Take the Techform or Unitab ratings.
Add 1 point for any horse which finished in the placings last start
Deduct 1 point for any horse which finished unplaced last start.
Deduct 1 point for any horse first up
Add one point for any horse backing up within 7 days
No alteration for any horse starting between 8 and 44 days.
Now, add up the
difference in points like this....
(TAB) (NEW RATING) (POINTS)
1 101 20
2 98 17
3 95 14
4 92 11
5 92 11
6 90 9
7 87 6
8 85 4
9 81 1
10 81 1
So you are adding up the number difference between the bottom rating, but a minimum of 1.
So now you have prices and percentages:
(TAB) (POINTS) (PERCENTAGE) (PRICE)
1 20 21.28% $4.70
2 17 18.08% $5.53
3 14 14.89% $6.71
4 11 11.70% $8.55
5 11 11.70% $8.55
6 9 9.57% $10.45
7 6 6.38% $15.67
8 4 4.25% $23.53
9 1 1.06% $94.34
10 1 1.06% $94.34
Either back any horse initially rated over 100 points after the rules are applied and
WIN!!!
Or back the overlays and
WIN!!!
A gift, can't get much easier than this - enjoy
Only proviso is don't bet maidens or first starters, hurdles, steeples, or fields where more than two horses are first up.
Anyone savvy with excel would be able to check this out as fact over a long period of time. You won't win every day or even every week, but you will win in the end.