21st April 2006, 01:43 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,601
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This might be more helpful : LLS = longest losing streak.
For a Win % of 34.0% over 100,000 trials, the expected LLS are ...
Exp # of LS of length 5 is 4258 Prob of one or more LS is 100.00%
Exp # of LS of length 6 is 2810 Prob of one or more LS is 100.00%
Exp # of LS of length 7 is 1855 Prob of one or more LS is 100.00%
Exp # of LS of length 8 is 1224 Prob of one or more LS is 100.00%
Exp # of LS of length 9 is 808 Prob of one or more LS is 100.00%
Exp # of LS of length 10 is 533 Prob of one or more LS is 100.00%
Exp # of LS of length 11 is 352 Prob of one or more LS is 100.00%
Exp # of LS of length 12 is 232 Prob of one or more LS is 100.00%
Exp # of LS of length 13 is 153 Prob of one or more LS is 100.00%
Exp # of LS of length 14 is 101 Prob of one or more LS is 100.00%
Exp # of LS of length 15 is 67 Prob of one or more LS is 100.00%
Exp # of LS of length 16 is 44 Prob of one or more LS is 100.00%
Exp # of LS of length 17 is 29 Prob of one or more LS is 100.00%
Exp # of LS of length 18 is 19 Prob of one or more LS is 100.00%
Exp # of LS of length 19 is 13 Prob of one or more LS is 100.00%
Exp # of LS of length 20 is 8 Prob of one or more LS is 99.98%
Exp # of LS of length 21 is 6 Prob of one or more LS is 99.60%
Exp # of LS of length 22 is 4 Prob of one or more LS is 97.38%
Exp # of LS of length 23 is 2 Prob of one or more LS is 90.96%
Exp # of LS of length 24 is 2 Prob of one or more LS is 79.54%
Exp # of LS of length 25 is 1 Prob of one or more LS is 64.91%
Exp # of LS of length 26 is 1 Prob of one or more LS is 49.90%
Exp # of LS of length 27 is 0 Prob of one or more LS is 36.63%
Exp # of LS of length 28 is 0 Prob of one or more LS is 25.99%
Exp # of LS of length 29 is 0 Prob of one or more LS is 18.02%
Exp # of LS of length 30 is 0 Prob of one or more LS is 12.29%
Exp # of LS of length 31 is 0 Prob of one or more LS is 8.29%
Exp # of LS of length 32 is 0 Prob of one or more LS is 5.55%
Exp # of LS of length 33 is 0 Prob of one or more LS is 3.70%
Exp # of LS of length 34 is 0 Prob of one or more LS is 2.46%
Exp # of LS of length 35 is 0 Prob of one or more LS is 1.63%
Exp # of LS of length 36 is 0 Prob of one or more LS is 1.08%
Exp # of LS of length 37 is 0 Prob of one or more LS is 0.71%
Exp # of LS of length 38 is 0 Prob of one or more LS is 0.47%
Exp # of LS of length 39 is 0 Prob of one or more LS is 0.31%
Exp # of LS of length 40 is 0 Prob of one or more LS is 0.21%
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