Thread: losing streak
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  #10  
Old 22nd April 2006, 05:01 PM
woof43 woof43 is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 696
Default simple formula

Win%=34
Loss%=66

LOSSES CONFIDENCE:
5 87.48%
6 91.73%
7 94.54%
8 96.40%
9 97.62%
10 98.43%
11 98.96%
12 99.32%
13 99.55%
14 99.70%
15 99.80%
16 99.87%
17 99.91%

Use the first 99%
Formula = 1-(Loss% ^ Losses) for excel users

example 1-(.66^12)=99.32%
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