R1.
All the hype around this Weirdo is pretty hard to ignore..Will start odds on..Sectionals are to hard to ingore aswell...to easy this first race but no value at all..Colless will nurse Heartbreak Pass again in the lead and with natural improvement the horse will run well...Albaquerque who trialled well the next best...a no brainer to start the day but if you dont mind the shorties Weirdo by all report should be winning this easily.
R2.
This race looks a better proposition..,,looks a heap of speed upfront...went looking for the horse with the strong finish who'll get the nice run with some value..Bitabiff looks the one,,raced very well behind Navy Seal last start and was up close to Star Of Canada and Bucks Secret.....the later winning today at Rocky and the Star even though neeeding the run would be odds on in this field....Bitabiff is alittle underated and Wallace can a train a sprinter...Monte Cavallo the main danger with the good barrier and is a proven weight carrier...Sectagonal with the awkard barrier still very competive in this.....Cocolare the next best....might be a good trifecta race aswell..
like Bitabiff especially at the 11's in the paper..
R3.
With Mameluke out the race looks a gimme for Cognisant..the horse in great form the weights no problem and has a good barrier...races forward so i cant see him getting into trouble either..last start pushed the impressive Mr Sportsman to the line.....looks a good thing...Mr Hornblower is an improving type...will again race very well and will probably lead this field...these look the 2 for an exacta...very very confident with Cognisant.
R4.
What a race ...blink and you'll miss it...Naval Seal again will race well here..Becks drawn on his inner will be there..Star of Canada with Colless aboard will improve out of sight and Maxy Legs with her strong finish gets a tempo to suit and could surprise ....I cant see any value in this race YET...but if Star Of Canada gets to decent odds with all this support for Becks and co i'd be inclined to lean his way..the horse will have improved from the first run and Colless gives the horse a couple of lengths aswell....
Naval Seal and becks will be no value.....In my speed map i have Becks and Naval Seal leading together ...Maxy legs behind them and Star Of Canada coming across and taking the sit one out one back,,perfect in this race...
I'll be on the Star if i can get a price....but these look the 4 and if you work out the order the value might be in having the tri and 1st4 a few times..
R5.
Not an easy race this. ....Cool Scene the obvious class,,,but coming back from the 2000m ?? but there will be a nice tempo in this race that will suit...Masi Pride was made very good ground last start..i havent a jockey for him yet.....Nexgen is racing in great form and has good gate speed that will help in this big field.....and even though Ice Chariot has drawn the shocker he has a good swooping sprint and will only need luck...
If Cool Scene stays in double figures he looks an excellent e/w....the horse has a touch of class about him and the wide open spaces here suit him......Nexgen the next best and in such a open race should be able to back both....i'm not holding my breath for double figures about Cool Scene but you never know in these types of races..and the whole 600m drop back in distance might scare a few off him..
R6.
If All Bar One runs a 108.5 will they catch him ?? i cant see them doing it...even the Great St BAsil who looked fantastic the other day might not be able to catch him here over the 1200m...theres no other horse in this that will pressure all bar one and he loves it this way...he can relax and just churn out enormous sectionals that make it to hard for the swoopers..
Impaler might try and give it a go but it would be suicide for him...
All Bar One,,,St Basil flying home for 2nd...(take the 17's now for the straddie),,,and Picaday (same story) with Falaise there abouts,,,
There will be alot of support for Falaise and St Basil so i should be able to get a better price than the 3.50 ....and would want better than that aswell..
R7.
This is High Academy's race ...the horse just needs some room and his sprint gets him all over the top of these..Bohemian Dancer will be tuff as he always is,,but i'm guessing Stewart will be out to make amends for his shocker last start....these look the standout 2 (but i did say this last start) ..Adavale Hornet who should lead this field and set a nice tempo will be sticking on for 3rd....very confident about High Academy...load up..
R8.
Wolfman after his last run looks hard to beat but i went looking for value...Ceffyl the old fella could get up in this race...forget his last run on (that track) at toowoomba and go on the earlier run....he doesnt know hes a senior citizen and they looked to have fixed his hoof probs....this isnt a hard race and i should get e/ws about him...he likes the track and is always overlooked...should get a good price..
Best bets. Cognisant, High Academy, Weirdo
Best E/w's . Bitabiff, Cool Scene.
Feeling very confident tomorrow...alot will depend on prices but i'm hopefull
Good Luck all