Originally Posted by lomaca

Why would you include a run where the horse may have been off colour, or the connections did not try, or it was an unsuitable race?
I would say, select the best performance in the not too distant past, even go back to the previous prep.
This will tell you what the horse is capable of doing, and that is what we are after.

Originally Posted by Duckymay

That will get you inconsistent horses who don't hold ratings. You'll back a lot of losers.