I agree in principle with you Osulldj,

But I punt purely using mathematics and statistics.
Sometimes statistics will encompass class and field strength as well, it all depends on what statistics you use and how you use them.
Statistics can provide you with profitable conclusions rather than logical one's.
For example: What seems logical is not necessarily profitable.
A horse rising in weight can sometimes be a concern, but in handicaps this usually relates to a significant drop in class.
Providing the horse has show it can carry weight previously, statistically often it is a good bet and profitable also, whereas logically, you might rule it out using form analysis and weight ratings.
I guess it comes down to the mindset and approach you wish to take.

[ This Message was edited by: Chrome Prince on 2003-05-07 16:36 ]