Originally Posted by crash

Purcer's view:
Quote:'Anyway back to La Montagna and she is Unitab fixed odds favourite for tomorrow’s 10,000 for Bazza Baldwin. Would I back her tomorrow? No, I wouldn’t have ten cents on her. Why is that? Well for starters she gets what I call “double whammy” in life in the 10,000. She goes UP in class and UP in weight. Trust me, you will go bankrupt in life if you back "double whammy" horses - they never win. She goes from a Group 3 - 3YO set weights race - to a Group 1 WFA race. She also goes from carrying 52.5 to 53.5 at the weights. This week she’s not running down a weak horse like Pasikatera whose form was 5-1-9-1 coming into the race and who drew 18 of 21 in the original draw. She only arrived just in time to nail Century Serb and Pasikatera last weekend. Would you back Century Serb or Pasikatera in a Doomben 10,000 at $6 – or even $66? No and neither would I. May I also point out that I do think La Montagna is a chance in the Stradbroke, I just don’t want to know her in the 10,000.'