
26th May 2006, 09:45 PM
|
|
Member
|
|
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Queensland
Posts: 2,628
|
|
Geez what a hard day at doomben many chances i feel in almost every single race there should be plenty of value to be had wherever you go.
Race 1: found this to be a very hard race to sort out really didn't mind Myagi, Lust for Victory, Mr. Sportsman, Chasin Tail & Bitabiff. Any one of those and probably nearly anyother horse in this race could win this so I thought I might go the way of Myagi on paper his runs look fairly good and if ridden quietly he might get the distance and if at decent odds might be worth an e/w ticket, Chasin Tail and Lust for Victory are the 2 others I might be interested in either way not overly confident on the race anyway.
Race 2: Hard race for me to get overly excited in here I didn't mind Rampant Lion a bit and may have a little on it but certainly won't go to far overboard that is for sure.
Race 3: I am actually with Mav here on Pirate Queen once again not with a great deal of confidence but if the right odds present themselves then I will be more than happy to have a bit of a go here I also thought that Riley Road might be a bit of a chance to.
Race 4: Douro Valley is a horse I have had sometime for for a while now and in the form he is in now he is certainly upto winning this race, hardest to beat I felt were Bohemian Dancer, Pentathon and to a lesser extent Bazelle who I feel might not quite be ready to produce it's best. Mav I wish you the best on Classic Karla that horse has driven me nuts and I wonder if it is going aswell as it has in the past. All in all Douro Valley should go very close to winning this and I doubt the odds will be that much over the $5 mark if they are hard to tell with out of towners sometimes they are liked other times noone wants anything to do with them.
Race 5: Really like Starlactic here and am struggling to work out what sort of odds might be on offer for this horse tomorrow either way aslong as it isn't backed to death I will be having something on it. Tornado Alley and Sir Breakfast were 2 others i liked with maybe Becks if it has any value for multiples.
Race 6: not a big fan of the race I am a huge fan of Master Denis and maybe the wide run 1st up took a bit out of him last week I just wonder like Mav whether this might be a bit early for this trip will probably half a bit e/w on him anyway. Our Roman Chariot I think is the horse to challenge Belmonte had some nice runs behind the very smart Wahid in NZ and I think if he can reproduce that sort of form he is probably right in this. Born to Rule was the other I thought could run a nuisance of a race especially from it's barrier should get a nice run just behind the speed. I will have something e/w on Master Denis and make a decision on anything else tomorrow.
Race 7: I have been on Show Biz Kid's bandwagon for quite awhile now and it is a crying shame he will not make the Straddie field which would have been far more suitable QLD racing needs to have a serious look at themselves there. This maynot have been the most suitable race for him but here is something to remember he was beaten about a length last year from barrier 4 running 4th IMO this horse is a far superior horse than he was then and if I am right he will win tomorrow, Another thing I might add Blinkers go on this is his Grand Final guys.
There are plenty of dangers in the field to many to name here Red Oog is a chance everytime he steps out as is St. Basil, Classiconi scares the living crap out of me and Nevis is as much chance as most of them but I am confident that if Show Biz Kid can get the right run he is in this upto his eyeballs and will take a stack of beating not to mention I have had the biggest bet on him I have had all year long.
Race 8: Single Rose has to be extremely hard to beat here she has all the right form lines and isn't that badly off at the weights she will take a stack of beating. Nova Star is a very talented horse who it wouldn't surprise me went very close to winning this not sure if she might get to far back in this hard to say what the tactics will be really. I thought there was a horse dosn the bottom of the weights who could sneak a place Disintegrate got some nice wins under it's belt even though it was clsses below this might not be ready to take the next step but it wouldn't surprise me if it runs a bit of a race.
|