I like Mi Cielo at Ipswich too mav.with hope for Osca's Right with the massive weight drop, good odds and right barrier.

Sven's right about Noble Gent, hasn't won a race since Adam was a lad. I do like Mersey Beat and that thing Colless is on loves the distance and track. Poor form line but has been competing at a much higher level than this.
I've got 4th. up Pop Will marked in the last, as from barrier 10 this backmarker only needs flicking out from the rear and steering at the right time by Danny Griffin. A couple of leaders here should set things up. That's the theory anyway:-)

Good luck.