Thread: odds
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Old 16th May 2003, 09:09 PM
becareful becareful is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Canberra
Posts: 730
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Puntz,

You certainly have been going through the archives to dig that post up!

At the time I posted that I was betting mainly with the TABs and was typically placing my bet within the last 10 seconds before the jump. Basically by leaving it to the last possible moment I only had to worry about any price change that occurred in the last half minute or so (ie. between the last pool update available and when the pool was closed). You can usually judge if a price is going to change drastically in that time by paying attention to any movements in the preceeding minute or two, looking at the pool size (small pools being much more volatile), looking for comparisons between the other TABs (eg. if price is say $6 on Tabcorp, $6.20 on NSW and $8.00 on UNITAB it is fairly likely that the price on UNITAB will come in but probably not to $6.00 unless the poos is very small, etc.

Now I am doing the majority of my betting with either Betfair or with IAS & other bookies so I don't have to worry so much as you can lock in the price you want. (A year ago I was betting more on longshots and more midweek betting which meant TAB was best option, now more of my bets are in the shorter price range which means bookies can be better and also majority of betting is now on Saturdays so if I do think TABs will pay better I just use DiviPlus on IAS)
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