
23rd May 2003, 09:57 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 154
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For those interested in the concept of the bounce, the originator was Len Ragozin who wrote "The Odds Must Be Crazy: Beating the Races with the Man Who Revolutionized Handicapping." (1997).
If you were on the wrong end of a "bounce" type event, (if that is what it was), then I'm sure you need to think that no one in their right mind had "Bob's Boy" as one of their solid straight out win selection (instead of Tru Glo). Such a surprise ought to tell a punter that luck or the surprise result replaces where form analysis might have prevailed. You have to build in those fuzzy moments in racing. In which case the effect of the punt shouldn't way you down with remorse. You probably made the right decision (in the long run). Luck or noise, or variation or bias or circumstances can play many hands.
As for the "bounce" maybe it's important to consider being on the collecting side of the equation and find something that had a bad (as in luckless) run and whcih has the potential and class to win next time (or two)... worth discussing.
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