Race 1,
Not an easy race to start with ,,Skyleda rates very high..really liked his last run and the likely slow track helps his cause he gets back in his races and really winds up,,the track here gives these types of horse there chance..Galloway likes the horse aswell,,,...Wheel the lead rates the highest,,has been racing very well and the lebron form is ok and with the claim will only have 54.5 kg's,droping back in distance is the only worry..,, These look the two for me....thought Veerod a chance of jagging a place at odds...very nice run last start..
Skyleda / Wheel the lead...
Race 2.
I dont like this race all that much,,alot of pretenders in this lot,,You'd think this race is taylor made for Monte Cavallo but youd go broke backing this horse for the win every time..the form around ths horse stacks up and if your willing to believe he'll get the distance hes easily the top rater..thought Aerosol could run a cheeky race here..no weight and likely to get the lead fairly easy..if little Moris can steal a break on them he'll be hard to catch.. ...King Latarmiss likes the track and the JB knows the track and where to start his run....these the top 3..work the multis around these...
Monte Cavallo on top,,, just have to find the courage. ,,,/ Aerosol/ King Latarmiss
Race 3.
I've taken on Mesmorising of late and have been sucessful with it..tomorrow i think she can win this. good run last start and just seems ready to peak here and the track suits..,,the wet ?? if the weather is the same as today it will be on the good side of slow or even dead..and she won nicely on the dead at e/f.....i like her alot...
Nice to see Tycoon Rose race against the girls and shes in this with a huge place chance.....Suubird interested me last start,,i'm convinced this horse is best at 1100m but she raced well over the 1350m last start...Colless the difference i guess,,
Ally Bee if it rains just grows another leg......
but i really like Mesmorising.
Race 4
I was very impressed with De Castella...sutton might have something here,,he cruised to victory last start and wasnt tested...this is the test of course but i like the way he strides out..the breeds been disapointing for mind but i like this one...alot to like about the way Moglich fought on last start,,,i like the Clangs in the wet ...Sweet As did enormous to finish where she did last start..sat 3 wide on the lead from a good alley..hope they get her to settle this time behind the leaders..she'll love this wide open straight to wind up in...
De Castella / Sweet As .....Moglich....
Race 5.
Surpised to find that Grecolo even with the horror alley still rates on top...this horse has good barrier speed so he seems to find a posie pretty easily..got the good run last start but i thought laboured with the weight in the straight alittle...still if he repeats that run he wins this,,I'd really like to back Diamonds but he hasnt impressed me this prep...the distance and track and likely conditions suit but he hasnt showed that good finish he used to have...(i'll see it tomorrow with me just me just watching)
.Rumbird the big danger...will get back and wind up and the distance is perfect but the slow track is a question mark...(the catbirds in the wet ?)
Greccolo,,,,should get a price jumping from that alley
Race 6.
Im prepared to take La Zizeranne here with the extra weight and against the boys...unlike me to jump on then off a horse but...Mitanni and Hasta La Ciao Ciao look the 2...
Mitanni should have won last start...forester just needed to keep him balanced but instead worried about where he was on the track,,,the form around Spirit of Tara is 1st class,,,,,Hasta just blitzed them last start and although this is way harder she did it with ease and she has improvement still in her,,,drops weight aswell...
Consular and old fav of mine will run well,,especially if they ride him back,,ridiculous tactics last start...but i think hed be better suited on a better track,,..
Mitanni to win..good starting point the 1400m ...Hasta close up and worth backing as well if at the odds you can....Top marc / Consular /LA Sizerane to place ,,,
Race 7.
Most people think Sphenohpta has already won this...I dont think it will be all that easy..Ipswich is a very deceptive track and JB basically used it like a slingshot and stole the race...this track plays the opposite..i liked the way JymCarew hit the line last start..i needed convincing he could run the trip and i think he can,, depends on how the track is playing......Empyreal if by this time if the track is alittle choppy will win this ..just a good old fashion swimmer....I'll take on the hotpot (i always do) Jymcarew if the track is dead,,,Empyreal if its wetter,,,simple
unsure ? then back them both with the phyta as the saver..
Race 8.
Court Adjourned looked real good last start...had no luck at all in a very good race..i know it was a blanket finish and these can be deceptive but his run against Becks was good also...to bad the track conditions dont suit,,,,Lasting Luck if you forget last run where he was just to far back has great form for a race like this...pushed Helter Skelter ,,beat Fluffy Duck and was beaten just by San Fransisco,,,,has the good alley and will be in it for a long way...JB helps...the 3yr filly Tabinga Lass should have won last start,,has had a million starts already but seems to enjoy it..at odds a real good place chance..
Lasting Luck if im having a good day..,,,
Scary taking on the 2 hotpots La Sizeranne and Phyta but i'm feeling adventerous after a good time of late..
Best Bets,,,,Monte Cavallo, Mesmorising
Best E/W's... Skyleda, Grecolo, Mitanni,Jymcarew
Best Roughie,,,Tabinga Lass, Aerosol
Good luck all
other state selections
Rosehill
Piculet, Opal Chip, With a Chance
Flemo
Straight Legs, High Costalana, Flash Trick
Gold Coast
Startled Hunter, General Sam, Chevron Island
Toowoomba
Coquito Rose, Circus Maximus
Cheltham
Swiss Vault
Belmont
Kembla
Thunderbirdsrgo
Have a stack on runners...the usual drop out because of prices ,track ect..15 the limit..