19th July 2006, 02:37 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,415
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by michaelg
My local TAB used to have Read's Ratings and I tested the top 3 system over a short period of time. It did not fare too well mainly because the divvies were unstable. Quite often the 3 horses were under the total percentage one minute prior to the race-start and therefore became a bet, but the final divvies showed that in reality it should have been a no-bet, and vice-versa.
But I did have some success betting only those that were "overs" even if it meant betting on only one horse in a particular race. I had even better success betting "overs" as stand-outs in exactas especially with races that had 11 starters or more.
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My own view was very positive on Read Ratings, as is my view on Techform ratings, it is not how it goes overall, but as you suggest, how you personally use them.
I found the overs very hard to snag at the TAB, drifting prices meant very difficult to know what you'll end up with.
Your exotic strategy is the only way to take real advantage, unless you have a fixed price bookie that will give you a firm dividend.
Betfair is no longer the cash cow it once was.
Smarter punters
Smarter bookies
Number of users
Bots
Have killed a lot of the value.
A lot of users got burned early and have educated themselves or gone bust.
Try finding an arb situation on the races these days! |