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Old 13th August 2006, 09:30 AM
jfc jfc is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Sydney
Posts: 402
Default Puzzle: Is your Golf Probability up to par?

After the overwhelming Smartgambler response to my AFL Top 8 quiz, here's an encore. Again original, as far I know.

Golfer A only pars, birdies or bogeys holes. With equal likelihood.

His identical twin B is 1 stroke behind A, with H holes to play.

No playoff if they finish equal.

What is the chance of B overtaking A for H = 1, 2 or 3?

Answer only for the highest H you are confident about. That way others unfamiliar with the techniques can still tackle whatever level they find challenging.
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