
22nd August 2006, 11:04 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 436
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LAST START WINNER LAY SYSTEM
Going to try a new lay system out for a bit of fun. It goes against the grain a little, in that I will only lay horses that have won their last start. The rules are as follows:
1. Won its last start by 0.5 lengths or less.
2. Up in weight from last start any amount.
3. Up in Field Strength (FS a positive + figure) from DFS formguide.
4. Has not won at distance before, and/or going.
5. Choose the highest rated (DFS) applicable horse per race.
The theory is the horse may have given its absolute best to just win last start, and with the extra weight, class and the unknown factor of distance and perhaps going, it should be worth laying. I will trial it for a while, and if I cop a hammering i will pull the pin. Will post selections when I have time but prob not every day. Staking is from a method i have come across on another forum. Ficticious bank is $1000.00
- Maximum lay is @ 6.50.
- Lay 2% of your betting bank for odds 0 - 3.50
- Lay 1% or your betting bank for odds 3.51 - 6.50
Selections for today:
Cant.
R3 N2 SECOND CHOICE
R5 N6 CARTOONS
__________________
All generalizations are dangerous.
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