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Old 28th August 2006, 01:41 PM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,601
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jfc,

You are talking about ROT. Try looking at it from strike rate. I believe there is a bias to horses winning more often from the inside barriers but at reduced odds.

As the barrier goes up the strike rate goes down but the ROT goes up.

In my database (only 451,000 runs) it shows a direct bias to the first 6 barriers which scored a strike rate above 10% for win (above 30% for place).

To determine the bias you divide the number of wins (or places) by the number of runs in the barrier.

I think this is what Bhagwan was steering towards.

I do argee a high strike rate does not make a good system. I take the higher ROT anytime.

Good Luck
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