
30th August 2006, 06:43 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,601
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pearcy,
Try the following :
1.Unitab rating =100
2. Outside 2 barriers
3. Last Start Winner
4. 8 or more runners in the field
It produces a small profit ($799.90 from 784 bets)
You can improve it heaps ...
For example ...
5. Winners which won by less than 2 lengths has $397.30 from 337 bets
The reasons you might use these factors are :
1. Unitab ratings of 100 are 2.4 more times likely to win
2. Outside 2 barrier give you some decent odds
3. Last start winners are showing form and fitness and are 40% more likely to win than the average horse.
4. Larger fields give better odds
5. We pick winners which had a hard win last start (less than 2 lengths). Those that win by too much are usually very low odds next race.
Good Luck
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