But seriously i think Flemington 7-12 Serenade Rose is a great bet today..ran into a massive heap of trouble last start in the liston...never missed a place at the distance (5:3-1-1) and track is (5:3-1-0)..barriers fine, probably settle just worse of midfield, and depending on how they're coming home should be thereabouts...people think she will only be competitive over longer but she was devestating over the mile last prep, half her wins have come from the mile or shorter. i really don't like OSJ...good wet tracker but i just don't think hes a group 1 winning horse. Zipping looks pretty good, ran home strongly in the memsie and aurie's star...suited to flemington, great on the wet...

Race 5 trifecta - 6 Belmonte - outstanding in brissy last campaign, can sprint well fresh...7 Rubijon looks suited to this type of race, well weighted, likes track and distance, good on wet...11 Caprizzi Strip very consistent type, well down in weight class hasn't changed much...15 Viennetta had a good run in the group 3 last start, down 3 kgs on that good form across the ditch, nicely drawn unbeaten this distance...16 Bird Dancer racing well this year, this is about his distance limit but won 5 times over it, down in weight after a very good run last start should go well.

In Randwick Race 6 Mnemosyne is great value here, shes nevere been good first up but usually very good 2nd start, down in class, shes a favourite of mine i think she'll win this....Primus is too short and untried in the wet so can't have him. Race 7 desert war should win this i think, showed good pace last start and fought on very well even though never goes well first up. good in the wet i think hes good value and is in the running for a 3rd epsom