There's no reason why anyone shouldn't bet on wet tracks....it's really just another myth....another so called gospel rule that someone theorised about, I suspect without any real practical profit making experience behind them.

To give an example, if you backed every favourite on a Saturday this year (to 31/5) where the race was held on a slow or heavy track, you would have made a profit of 1.7% on turnover. Fast and good tracks produced >10% loss.

That doesn't show that wet tracks are necessarily better or that you should start backing wet track favourites. But there is nothing that says you should stay away from a wet track. If you apply common sense form analysis there is no reason why you can't be successful betting on wet tracks.

Angel, your concepts that a horse with proven form in a given track condition will perform better than a horse that has its proven form on a different track conditions is true to some extent.

What is more true is that there is less risk in backing a horse with proven form in the going than a horse that doesn't. However, the market will generally compensate for these factores and the profit position at the end of the day would be no different if theoretically that was the only difference between the horses.

Statistically there is next to no difference between the strike rate of horse going up in distance as opposed to coming back.

As I've said in many posts though, you can ill afford to make generalising assumptions about any aspect of racing. That's where many people fall down.....the little fixed rules they have in their head that influence their form analysis and betting decisions.

Each horse and race needs to be looked at in isolation for the unique event that it is. There will be times where a horse going up in distance is a top chance and other times where that distance rise menas it has little chance.

In my view, the sooner a punter can move themselves away from thinking about racing as a group of fixed rules or assumptions and more towards having an ongoing open mind that looks at each races context as unique, the sooner they can progress towards making money. :smile: