Sportz,
I mean accurate to the TAB starting price.
I know you can't get accurate prepost due to firmers and drifters, but I'm looking for something that accurately predicts if a horse will be even money or less. Something I'd imagine would be pretty easy to be close enough to generate, as the weight of support should see a horse that fancied only drift or firm marginally.
I don't think I've seen an odds on horse drift or firm dramatically in a long time, except for a downpour
I'm looking at cutting way back on betting now, turning over significantly higher individual bet amounts with much less action.
I can't stand the frustration any longer
As someone mentioned elewhere, Shane Dye said he could make a living having one bet on the Cox Plate, as the class horse of the field usually wins.
Phar Lap
Sunline
Northerly
Might And Power
Tulloch
Octagonal
Kingston Town
Red Anchor
Bonecrusher
Saintly
Makybe Diva
Reads like a hall of fame list, the boy has problems riding, but not in judging horseflesh
Nothing that drastic, but I anticipate between one and four bets a month.