I wouldn't be wiping Lad Of The Manor out of this. Only beaten once from 6 starts at the Valley [by Makybe Deva last year] and last start was tightened for room and checked in the running.
4 starts in now [needs that for a 7yr. old], so will be at peek fitness tomorrow as will Casual Pass with 5 runs in from a spell, likes the track and with 4 wins from 6 over this distance, can't be ignored. From b11 Casual Pass should head across and join the other 2 leaders in this, Apache Cat and Our Smoking Joe.

Grey Swallow recently changed hands for $6m and has won 5 from 5 first up around this distance [and more], so a bit hard to handicap here for MV . Had a couple of unsuitable runs because the horse likes the pace on [races on the pace] according to the trainer and will have that here for sure. From b1 can settle just off the 3 leaders and then should make it's usual drawing away run that might be just too hard to catch.

Adjusted times makes Honor in War [USA] a VERY quick horse over this distance and the O'Brien/Arnold combo is something to be wary of.
So a big question mark over the Yankee as with Miss Finland and RTW who have never raced beyond 1600m. Apache Cat tried it last start [beyond 1600m] and did no good.

El Segundo will come from behind, has the runs on the board for the track and distance and I'm ignoring his last run. My main pick here, but there are unknown values in this race [except the poor odds that will be on offer for El Segundo] that can't be really be handicapped. I'll be betting on the 2 value OS horses to win and having a couple of exotics.

Good luck to all on Sat.