The last time I had a "Saterday afternoon fantasy" La Mer: it didn't include anything with four legs.
What your saying[academicaly] is that we are all wasting our time on the punt. So why arn't you butterfly collecting or somthing?
Those book writers makes their money selling books. The punt has nothing to do with writing books [poor sods].
What you say is true statisticly. But outside stats there is room to move because of non maths variables. Stats are maths mate and as we know they are great to a point but useless for prodicting a definative win.Just ask any pro punter. Statisticly there could'nt be any winning punters by your maths logic and there is no argument there.Outside stats is where we are at and you are obviously there or you wouldn't be here [ho ho lol].