27th November 2006, 06:37 AM
|
Member
|
|
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Sydney
Posts: 402
|
|
Ashes Probability Puzzle
With 5 wickets remaining of the 4th innings the batting team B is 354 runs behind A.
B has a 1% probability of winning the match.
Question: What is the probability of a tie?
Assume:
Draw impossible.
B averages 1 run for every wicket-free ball.
Hint: should be able to solve with spreadsheet using a function whose name has at least 10 letters.
|