Down 3 1/2kg. I think Polar Bear is going to be very hard to beat. OK barrier too for a Mid-pacer. Can avoid the rough and tumble from 17 and settle where he likes more or less out from the fence [not good for Ascot I hear with this many runners]. He'll be my only bet.

Vain Crusader with Harvey on and the big weight drop might be a surprise package and worth putting in any exotics. Got to respect Harvey.