On 2003-07-30 15:22, Bhagwan wrote:
Result
Tested over 34,000 horses

0-7% (1st uppers)
1-8%
2-9%
3-9%
4-11%
5-10%
6-10%
7-9%
8-11%
9-9%
10-7%

It shows that the horses 4-9th up after a spell, have fitness on their side.
Therefore have a stronger chance of winning.

10th onwards & the stats start falling away again.

....................

Interesting stats Bhagwan. Agree with you absolutely. Fitness is important. Though I'm not too clear on exactly what these stats are.

Does 34,000 refers to when each of 34,000 horses wins in its campaigns? Apart from first up - every horse is first up? (what about horses that have a break of say around two months?) Are they still counted as being in their current campaigns?

There is room for some distortion in the stats through injury and campaigns being stopped.

Eg there will be less runners having their 10th. run compared to ninth run or fourth run.

May an unsuccessful/poor horse also distort the stats if it is given plenty of runs in its campaign and doesn't win?

[ This Message was edited by: Neil on 2003-07-31 11:21 ]