The big problem for Confectioner is the inside barrier. As a backmarker and over this distance it would take a miracle to get out for a run.
It will be like dodgem cars, buffeted from pillar to post from barrier 2 for a backmarker. I don't know how the horse would go if the jockey is told to go forward [?]

Vain Crusader is going to get a perfect run ...so is Niconero.