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Old 1st January 2007, 10:38 AM
Red Anchor Red Anchor is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2007
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in reply to your excellent point CRASH regarding why the flood of information hasn't increased the strike rate of favs winning..my answer would be that corruption in racing prevents the strike rate of favs from increasing despite the apparent increase in knowledge to punters..... also i believe that TOO MUCH CONFIDENCE can be a bad thing in punting... when we have too much information and become so convinced that we have found a certaity or a good thing we can then over bet a horse thus creating a favourite that is essentially overbet and in terms of long term value becomes a false favourite.... so depite rises in form technology perhaps corruption in racing (favs not getting the greatest favours in the run) combined with a new found over confidence (hence creating over bet false favs) combined with the old age constant factor of LUCK means that the winning rate of favs remains static... after all u can watch as many videos as u like and do all the form in the world but u will never be as wise as those who are closest to the horse or are sitting on its back.....
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