20th January 2007, 04:47 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,415
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Here's an example of the way I was talking about accuracy...
Of the last 97 bets on top rated horses...
Overall they returned a loss on turnover
-TAB -6.91%
-Bookie Fixed Odds -5.05%
Where I was able to obtain an overlay on Betfair 42.42% POT
Where they drifted on the tote from the rated price
-TAB -12.67%
-Bookie Fixed Odds -28.56%
Where I was able to obtain an overlay on Betfair 7.17% POT
Where they firmed on the tote from the rated price
-TAB -1.92%
-Bookie Fixed Odds +15.29%
Where I was able to obtain an overlay on Betfair 72.93% POT
And that is just on the bet side.
If you account for the TAB takeout of 14.50% and also the Bookie Fixed Odds takeout of up to 30% (in some cases), things look pretty good.
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