
20th August 2003, 04:19 PM
|
Member
|
|
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 243
|
|
On 2003-08-20 15:54, xanadu wrote:
"..the domination of Sydney racing by a small number of stables is without doubt, a "wealth hazard" to the average punter."
Xanadu, this bares no relation to what you next write about Nordic Flight which is trained by David Lee who does not run a major stable. I presume that's what you meant as no Nordic Prince raced at Randwick last Saturday.
On 2003-08-20 15:54, xanadu wrote:
"If you wish to bet in Sydney then I suggest that you employ a dutch-book approach which at least allows the average punter to benefit from some shorteners which, apparently, have no recognisable form. For confirmation of this , please look at the run of Nordic Prince last Saturday.
I'll leave it at that."
Xanadu, I'm successful betting in Sydney and I don't use a dutch-book approach. Never have and never will. I look for value. A dutch-book approach does not. I backed Nordic Flight. $20 was too good to miss. It won a Saturday class mares open two weeks earlier over the same distance and was racing in a transition last Saturday. That's no class rise.
It was the same old story - it won at long odds on 2nd. August and punters dismissed its win as a fluke. To those punters it proved last Saturday that its previous win was no fluke.
Nordic Flight was also not a shortener. It opened in the bookies ring at $12 and started at $16. Any money on the tote was simply because it had eased with the bookies but was still at shorter odds than on the tote.
[ This Message was edited by: Mr. Logic on 2003-08-20 16:22 ]
|