
24th August 2003, 07:47 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Canberra
Posts: 730
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I generally avoid the dogs as I haven't spent a lot of time studying them - one big issue is that the TAB pools are ususally quite small which really limits how much you can bet. I did collect some price stats for a while and it is not unusual to see the price on one runner change from say $4.00 just before jump to only pay $2.00 after the race - probably the result of someone putting $500 on their dog when the pool is only a few thousand dollars. Makes finding value kind of tricky when some idiot does that.
Crash - I think IAS only offers Bettadiv on dogs (ie. NSW pricing) which means you are still exposed to this type of issue. Don't know what the bookie markets are like on the dogs?
DKEL - Using a loss chasing staking plan on $1.30 runners can send you broke real fast (as can any loss-chasing plan). You basically have to incresase your bet fourfold after each loss. So if first bet is $50 your progression is $50, $200, $800, $3200, $12800! Even with an 80% strike rate a run of 4 or 5 losses is quite possible.
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