In thanking you Wesmip1 I must confess I was really concerned that Crash had summed up this game in a sentence.

I believe it is such a complex science that one can all too easily find results that back up a particular hypothesis but these same results can support some other theory just as easily.

Your reconstruction of what might have gone through the tipsters mind is quite believable so I can sleep easy again tonight in my little world where there are still some principles left.

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"Not winning on a horse that came first is one thing.....Losing on a horse that didn't come first is something else entirely!!!"