Originally Posted by Chrome Prince

There are plenty of other class horses that should win on three legs - but they don't because of one reason or another. I think that's the point OzPunter is getting at. "we" don't know which is which.

Horse could be off colour, out of sorts, behind in fitness, nursing slight injury, not living up to previous trackwork, or blitzing easily carving out best times of it's career.

I remember Filante racing at odds on in NSW and not running a place. Was perfectly ridden, but something just wasn't right. Should have won by at least 5 lengths based on class and form.