19th March 2007, 08:43 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,426
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Of course there is the ebb and flow of form for both horses and jockeys.
That's just a natural occurrence.
No horse, no jockey, no thing is perfect.
You have to reverse the situation and ask "how often does this jockey stuff up compared to chance of horse"?
Beadman is miles ahead whichever way you look at it.
Did he stuff up on Prince Arthur - I'm not so sure.
The odds were ridiculously unders especially when looking at the credentials of his opposition.
Beadman drops the horse out to last with the horse throwing it's head around uncomfortable with the slow pace. Beadman hunts up on the fence, the pace a crawl, horse still uncomfortable. Beadman tracks his main chances but gets boxed in by two horses. A wall of horses, but PA was not going like a winner 200m out. He also copped two bad buffetings and the horse directly in front drops back onto him at a crucial point.
I don't think PA was ever going to win that race at any point. Been over the replay several times. You can see Beadman riding him out and the horse not responding.
The slow pace, beat the horse in my opinion.
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