Thread: Beat the Donkey
View Single Post
  #70  
Old 26th March 2007, 09:38 AM
AngryPixie AngryPixie is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 1,070
Wink

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chrome Prince
Well done with your efforts, you've beaten that stubborn donkey on POT, but he's bucked you off with higher dollar profit. But not by a great deal, your risk is lower.


Thanks Chrome it's been an enjoyable exercise but I wouldn't like trying to make a living from being a tipster. Look's as though I've managed to pick a trial month where the Daily Donky selections are going to finish above 10,000 profit!* Just luck I guess

Quote:
One thing that does worry me is using the SP price minus 5% commission, on some lays you may never have been matched and on others matched at much lower prices. How do you know for accuracy?


Yes I know there are problems there but it's more for illustrative purposes than for accuracy. I'm using SP for ease of comparison with the way the Daily Donkey display their results. As you say there are times when the selections don't get matched, and in fact you'd have missed a number of the "accidents" if you'd priced them up around the Racing Post PP. You'd have missed a number of our successes too, but you'd be doing better than the results posted here.

What I'll do at the end of the week is average the "accident" SP's out and use that SP to BF equation do display a projected BF matched price. With Donkey's 132 "accidents" things should even up quite a bit. I know this is not ideal but for the purposes of the exercise (quality over quantity) it's probably good enough.

Quote:
I think you've done a tremendous job, not too many post lay systems here.
Keep up the good work.


Thanks again, but let's not forget the great stuff Michaelg get's up to.

* I'd like to think that the Daily Donkey team are lurking here and that they've picked up their game.
__________________
Pixie
"It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash
Reply With Quote