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Old 28th April 2007, 06:29 PM
AngryPixie AngryPixie is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 1,070
Thumbs up Results: April 28th

Tough day on the lay! Toowoomba meeting being abandoned made it interesting but the 11.00 and less division ended on profit. We've come back to the pack a little though.

Watch the prices you're accepting here people. The daily median price has been pushed from 11.25 to 12.50! Remember it's more likely that the success so far of the 11.00 and less division has been due to luck. Little money only ok.

ASCT04-03 Cat In A Hat 8.20 LOST +1.00
ASCT07-07 Zambane 25.00 ... LOST +1.00
ASCT08-05 Dee Picked 5.60 ... LOST +1.00
ASCT08-10 Lizardis 7.80 ... LOST +1.00
CAUL03-01 Speedy Rossa 8.4 ... LOST +1.00
CAUL05-02 Life's A Bounty 15 ... LOST +1.00
CAUL06-03 Rockford Bay 20 ... LOST +1.00
CAUL08-02 Pinezero 11 ... LOST +1.00
E_FM02-05 Stirling 14.5 ... LOST +1.00
E_FM02-10 Moonlight Shadow 8.6 ... LOST +1.00
E_FM04-07 Vietnam 9.8 ... LOST +1.00
E_FM05-04 Mesmerising 10 ... LOST +1.00
E_FM05-07 Point Made 26 ... WON -25.00
E_FM07-06 Primus 10.5 ... LOST +1.00
E_FM08-01 Omnitrader 7 ... LOST +1.00
E_FM08-03 High Academy 38 ... LOST +1.00
E_FM08-08 Picablu 9.6 ... LOST +1.00
E_FM08-12 Noble Gaze 14 ... WON -13.00
GCST02-04 Casa Cardoso 17 ... LOST +1.00
GCST02-10 Monagetti 13 ... LOST +1.00
GCST05-04 Golden Whistler 15 ... LOST +1.00
GCST05-06 Nepro 19.5 ... LOST +1.00
GCST05-10 In Order 12.5 ... LOST +1.00
GCST06-07 Muscle Up 10.5 ... LOST +1.00
GCST08-04 Aquaracer 6.2 ... WON -5.20
GCST08-05 Bushie 7.2 ... LOST +1.00
GCST08-09 Daintree Crossing 12.5 ... LOST +1.00
MORP03-09 Night Gazer 24 ... LOST +1.00
MORP04-09 Lessie 29 ... LOST +1.00
RHIL03-06 Rubinda 15 ... LOST +1.00
RHIL03-07 Oakland Lad 7.6 ... WON -6.60
RHIL07-09 Newport 30 ... LOST +1.00
RHIL08-02 Biscayne Bay 15 ... LOST +1.00

===
RESULTS: April 21st - April 28th

All
===

Number of Selections: 89.00
Observed Successes: 80.00
Observed Strike Rate: 89.88%
Expected Successes: 80.62
Expected Strike Rate: 90.59%
Advantage: -0.77%
Success due to luck: 82.65%
Units Profit: -20.50
ROI: -23.03%

11.00 or less
===

Number of Selections: 42.00
Observed Successes: 37.00
Observed Strike Rate: 88.09%
Expected Successes: 36.21
Expected Strike Rate: 86.20%
Advantage: 2.19%
Success due to luck: 70.50%
Units Profit: +11.00
ROI: +26.19%


P.S. Wonder if we've turned up a longshot win method with the selections starting at more than 11.00.
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Pixie
"It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash
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