hi all

was interested when i saw this post. the question i have bases on what you have indicated is if a horse has the following stats
40starts win 2 2nd 1 3rd 0

then under you model this horse has as w/p ratio of 66% yet this is not a consistent horse given the number of starts.

Have you found this to be a problem or have you factored in some minimum or max starts etc.

regards
ubetido