10th May 2007, 06:30 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,431
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Crash,
It seems that pace and draw together are really only investigated in the greys and trots, and perhaps the Golden Slipper, the rest of the time - it's pretty much ignored.
I still haven't been able to quantify pressure in a race, it's not the first sectional, it's not the last, and it certainly isn't the race time, but it's in there somewhere.
Me old mate California Dane is the prime example, he just cannot handle anything bigger than a low grade Group 3, put him back to Listed and he bolts home, put him up to Group 2 and he runs midfield.
This is a track record holder and his best times, say he should easily win a Group 1, but he can't take the pressure and runs tailed off - yet the racetime is slower!
I know a lot of punters and bookies use speed maps, but not in the way you describe, so you're probably getting quite a few overlays with your method.
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