****************, we have more than the vino in common, but this business of following the money is what I was getting at in another thread, i.e. if you FOLLOW the money then you have already missed what is considered to be the ONLY way to win, i.e. you have to obtain better odds that the true chances of the conveyance winning.

So to me you are right, BUT you have to arrive there backwards, i.e. let's say that the pic is considered to be a true 3-1 chance by you or by some other "************", then we place a bet $100 @ Top Fluctuation with a minimum price accepted of 3-1.

The nag opens 11-4, hits 10-3, then is gambled on into 2-1, so our bet is ON @ 10-3, that's the way to do it, NOT backing the nag at 2-1 or even less, am I making sense?

Not sure why hex-pertt is a swear word but never mind