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Old 11th May 2007, 07:56 AM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,601
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crash,

Its a bit hard to reply when I am asleep.

Jfc,

Not sure what you mean. Can you elaborate. Using your figures I don't think I could ever be in profit because the losing run to knock out a bank of that size is too frequent.

There is a point at which the strike rate will negate a losing system depending on the loss % and the strike rate %. Mind you the strike rate needs to be very high (I think its more than 67%).

I found by using the progressive staking plan you will increase your bank at least 70% of the time(when using a timeframe of a week or double the bank as a stop point). So 7 out of 10 weeks you will make a profit. Providing the profit from the 7 successful weeks covers the complete losses of the other 3 weeks you should come out in front.

I am happy to be proven wrong and rather than argue about it I am running the tests here. No one has yet to show me a large enough sample from punting where it would not work. I have ran this over 4000 bets and it is showing a profit but no one can show me another 4000 bets where this is losing significantly.

Theory is great but we all know those who can't do, teach.... I want to see real results to prove these things, and I would be very happy to be proven wrong.

I am not saying this will work with every system. I am saying this will work on betfair for favs because the ROT is almost break even. This would not work on the totes.

Good luck
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