Good Luck Stix with Merlot Now,,i'll have a token $20 on...i just dont think hes a stayer,,1600m is hes limit but atleast hes back home..all we need now is Joey Bowditch to fly down for the ride and we'd be right......(ps Jillimarg in that race looks hard to beat)
A hard day in Brissie Tomorrow,,,not a day i'm supremely confident about,,
Race 1.
A hard race this,,,if Bohiemian Dancer was drawn better i'd be all over him,,he does look the classier horse of the lot,,Motivate finds it hard to win but atleast has the formlines around him to figure in this,,,both these two will be back and i'm guessing with the rail in for the first time in awhile they'll back the onpacers like Lady's opinion and Departure....Can Sir Success run the distance ?? if he can he gets the sit on them,,?? ,,i dont like the race as i'm not sure how the track will play but if i had to have a bet,, Boheimien Dancer e/w
Race 2.
Looks like we wont be getting 30's about Deception bay again..every man and his ****** saw the run,,,he'll be flying late and he has won on this track before although not in this class,,,,Denmarket is drawn poorly but looks to be coming back into form...the toppy Tentocountdown is a consistant tough horse,,fought on bravely last start...Mosta House no weight and drawn nicely has knockout chance,,,To hard this race but if your game ,,Denmarket he'll just need a bit of luck to slot in ...
Race 3.
Rasmussen is a flyer 1stup,,hasnt trialled but that shouldnt matter ,,Colless rates them so well up front ,,i just hope that Sam Samir doesnt take him on because hes a flyer aswell..,,,The Joker should get the drop on these two the big danger....Rasmussen
Race 4.
I'm a fan of Cent Per Cent so Kingda Ka has got me interested,,,has a habit of missing the kick though which is a worry....if he isnt ridiculous odds hes the best bet,,,Lassie Mactavish ran a good race last start without any luck...worth a spec e/w if shes silly odds..feline Hunter and Atomic Huss dangers ..
Race 5.
I'm a fan of Son Of Dane,,,hasnt been placed very well imo during his career...He'll find it tough from the barrier but Stathi is riding very well,,,he'll be nice e/w odds,,,October Grey the one to beat,,he flys fresh and nicely weighted...these the two i like in this,,should be able to back both....the Nz horses are alittle hard to rate so it might pay to be carefull
Race 6.
Hard to back Safwa from that alley but she has no weight ?? More kiwis in this than a wednsday morning dole que ,,this makes it hard to line up alot of the form...Omnitrader drops a stack of weight and now ridden by a rider who can rate them alot better up front..he'll be huge odds but will give you something to cheer at 1/2 way down the straight with your $10 on....e/w
Brave lancer and Ice chariot rate highly,,
Race 7,
Well if it stays dry i'm on Takeover Target,,hes just to classy ..he'll sit behind Sparky and maybe Magically and then just pounce in the straight...if it does rain then Bently has a show...i think mitani the danger if its dry,,,this horse is flying but i have a therory that Shane might take it easy on him as theres a bigger target coming up and he wont wanna have a gutbuster chasing TT....but if hes cruising again ???
Race 8.
I cant tip against reigning to win....just to good,,,i think Raheeb will appreciate it around here alot better,,and Yasumuri looks a good horse but is flattered by a few wet tracks ?? either way Reigning to win but i doubt i'll be on at that price.....Lasaron looked good last start and ran well without luck,,likes it here and will be nice odds,,,worth an e/w ...
Best bets...Rassmussen,Ocober Grey, Takeover Target
Best e/ws...Bohemien Dancer, Lasaron, Son Of Dane
Sydney
November Flight
Melbourne
Speedy Rossa, Solvini, live in Vain.
Adelaide
The Big Gee, Jest For Fun (they both might be to short)
Gold Coast
Sequenjar
Newcastle
Cheif Hennesy
Belmont
Ectecetera Ectetera, Cat in the Hat
Good Luck all