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Old 14th May 2007, 09:49 AM
crash crash is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: gippsland lakes/vic
Posts: 5,104
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Quote:
Originally Posted by wise one
Crash

This is a very interesting thread.

When you look at the lone leaders, do you take into account their distance record?

like you see horses that can run 1200 meters but die in a hole over 1300 metres, so if they are the lone leader in a 1300 metre or greater distance do you still select them?

Wise one


Todays and Sunday's selections were just the runners that met my original criteria, without the slightest look at their form for anything, including suitability over the distance. track. condt. etc. Whether the selections are good first up, second up or anything else. Takes me about 10min. max.

Naturally for betting purposes it would be a good idea to scrutinize the form suitability for the races they are now running in which would produce less runners to bet on but produce higher overall win SR. Then again, considering Sunday's results, it might be better to ignore the form completely!

Well I did finally have a peek at the form of today's runners and I 'm going to back them. Anything over 5/1 I'll back ew. The Leader Cavalier Queen's last win over 1100m was also from the outside barrier [same class] with the same jockey, so I'll take that bet too.

I've been picking up handfuls of very nice priced winners over the last 12mths. now that I'm concentrating on pace in my form study.
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