A nice day with both price divisions ending with a healthy profit. The highlight was snagging the 34.00 winner Cinque Cento. You could have got as much as 55.00 a minute or so before the jump. I managed 48.00. Show Biz Miss surviving a protest to win at 12.00 was the cream on the cake.

There was a couple of close calls in the "11.00 or less" lay division the closest was Merlot Now's whisker second which had he have won would have taken a nice bite out of our days profits. That's life on the lay.

Prices from the B.A.T.


====================
Lay 11.00 or less
----------
BLMT05-06 Metal Power 10.50 ... LOST +1.00
BLMT06-11 Ticking Time 9.00 ... LOST +1.00
BLMT07-06 No Questions 6.80 ... LOST +1.00
CHEL04-02 Merlot Now 4.80 ... LOST +1.00
CHEL06-02 Toxic Free Mallee 8.40 ... LOST +1.00
DOOM03-19 My Hangover 10.50 ... LOST +1.00
GCST03-02 Brinkley Light 9.80 ... LOST +1.00
RHIL04-09 Scorched Earth 8.20 ... LOST +1.00
RHIL07-06 Newport 6.80 ... WON -5.80
SAND05-01 Bel Danoro 6.60 ... LOST +1.00
SAND06-06 Desert Master 8.80 ... LOST +1.00
SAND08-11 Roubechon 10.50 ... LOST +1.00

Results April 21st - May 19th*
----------
Number of Selections: 76.00
Observed Successes: 68.00
Observed Strike Rate: 89.47%
Expected Successes: 61.79
Expected Strike Rate: 81.30%
Advantage: 10.05%
Success due to luck: 2.03%
Profit: +24.50 units
Commission @ 5%: -3.40 units
Net Profit: +21.10 units
Net ROI: +27.76%
====================


====================
Back 11.50 or greater
----------
BLMT04-05 Amadiora 20.00 ... LOST -1.00
BLMT07-02 Local Legend 16.50 ... LOST -1.00
BLMT07-07 Gobiton 20.00 ... LOST -1.00
BLMT07-11 Mercury Halo 17.50 ... LOST -1.00
CHEL03-07 Lessie 20.00 ... LOST -1.00
DOOM07-04 Coalesce 19.50 ... LOST -1.00
DOOM07-08 Cinque Cento 34.00 ... WON +33.00
GCST07-03 Hallside Hero 19.50 ... LOST -1.00
GCST09-14 Experience 32.00 ... LOST -1.00
RHIL02-11 Montana Royale 13.00 ... LOST -1.00
RHIL03-06 Parfumier 14.50 ... LOST -1.00
RHIL08-06 Tolo 17.50 ... LOST -1.00
TWBA02-07 Foxie Em 42.00 ... LOST -1.00
TWBA04-06 Much 40.00 ... LOST -1.00
TWBA04-09 Show Biz Miss 12.00 ... WON +11.00
TWBA05-07 Kings Valour 21.00 ... LOST -1.00

Results April 21st - May 19th*
----------
Number of Selections: 93.00
Observed Successes: 9.00
Observed Strike Rate: 9.68%
Expected Successes: 4.70
Expected Strike Rate: 5.05%
Advantage: 91.64%
Success due to luck: 13.12%
Profit: +90.50 units
Commission @ 5%: -8.72 units
Net Profit: +81.78 units
Net ROI: +87.93%
====================

* I've normalised the B.A.T. prices to a 100% market and have started subtracting the Betfair commission at a fixed rate of 5%.

__________________
Pixie

"It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash