G'day Crash, for most of the time you are probably right, but this plan is designed to improve from "BREAK EVEN" so I have it down as pretty safe, especially if the extra safety measures as I outlined are incorporated, so I see it as a bet to nothing, in the sense that if it performs as normal you will at least break even , if you do well then ,...you do better.

In fact it's not that far removed from 1% of bank (level stakes) never reducing, that has to be pretty conservative doesn't it?