Two observations:
1. I love laying odds on favourites over the jumps - anywhere in the world.
Two very short priced favourites over the jumps fizzled today.
2. A perfect example of what can be achieved when the price is too short on one, so the other becomes value.
A huge plunge on Star Touch in race 4 Strathalbyn $10.00 into $2.90
My method selected Alpine Storm which went from $2.15 to $4.40
Regardless of the outcome, Alpine Storm was almost a double overlay in my books @$5.70 on Betfair and 76% plus drift.
Alpine Storm just nosed out the plunge horse
If we rule out the plunge horse for a moment, and look at the price of Alpine Storm, it becomes obvious. All we need is an ounce of edge and we have overs.
All fine and dandy to talk after the race, but patterns keep repeating over and over.
Here's a list of similar situations and the result:
Falvalea WON $5.80
Wesley Manor
Upper Echelon
French King
Estelle Collection
Fasnatic
Birthday Bash WON $4.30
Eyeteecee
New Tradition WON $4.50
Occurrence
El Maroo WON $7.80
Kohl
Easy Rocker WON $7.80
Al Spark
Letmeentertainyou
Monet Rules WON $6.40
Zamra
Water Captain WON $8.00
Snip 'N' Sox
Bitabiff WON $5.30
Amberino
McCloud
Next Adventure WON $5.10
Chart Topper
Cocoruru
Keen Commander
Secret Relations WON $4.92
Guerrouj
Pinions
All Ticker WON $6.80
Lindabrava
Yuba County
Litter
She's All Heart
Meking Dane
Sacred Moon
Commanding Victory WON $6.60
Glory Be
Big Daddy Cool
Anyways
Nicaragua
Synonym
Gallium
Classy Crystal
Foreign Capital
Definitely So
Commemorating
City Of The Czars
Pingo
Desert Lad WON $3.85
Indicted
Fingal Bay
White Diamonds
Diplomatic Force WON $8.00
Posadas WON $4.40
Testimonial WON $5.50
Regal Megan
Upilio WON $7.80
Spark Of Life
Indira Morning
Rich Az
Grondie
Tears I Cry
Peratin
Urbane Boy
Annoyed
Awe And Wonder
Hollaback WON $4.10
Hy Dream
********** Chimes
Kanalea
Kinroe WON $3.55
Four Beers Later
Just Curious
French King
World Ruler
Passenger WON $3.20
Sophistication WON $3.70
Regreagan
For Action WON $4.20
Hometown Legend
Zelt
Ponbar Diamond
Ugly Betty
Media Attention
Leica Plateau WON $5.20
Sweetmandy
Eton
Cavallo
Devil's Nite
De Coubertin
Margate
Waltz To Glory
Riveret WON $4.20
Medimist
Kariad
Kitz Lane
Racy Alice
Petulie WON $4.00
Sister Jacinta WON $7.40
Zimaretto
Emilyjoy
Belle Paris WON $5.30
Avoid Heathrow
Energizer WON $4.60
Brunelleschi
Blackford
Alpine Storm WON $5.70
End result is 108 selections under this scenario for a profit of close to 50 units or around 46& POT, with the maximum win dividend of $8.00