24th May 2007, 02:11 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,415
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Due to the volume of work involved (a massive undertaking), I would suggest you specialise in one distance range and work your way through it until you get it near to your requirements.
The problem with this, is the number of variables, so there is not enough data to make it reliable, if it's done thoroughly.
The other problem is that they change track surfaces, rail position etc etc, so you are sometimes working blind. Even barriers are sometimes changed a few metres because of the tractor getting bogged etc etc.
By the time you hone it down to
TRACK -> DISTANCE -> GOING -> CLASS
You are left with data that is unreliable - there just aren't enough meetings with the same conditions and class to make it reliable.
The old adage used to be true "based on a minimum of 1000 races"
I can tell you from first hand experince, you need a minimum of 10,000 races.
Good luck, I'm sure you'll find a successful angle with it though.
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