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25th May 2007, 04:57 AM
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Suspended.
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: gippsland lakes/vic
Posts: 5,104
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wesmip1
Over the period I used times, reasonable accuracy was surprisingly good considering the variables possible. Variables tended to even out across many bettable races and their fields of runners to a surprising degree.
In my experience, I'd say over 1000m to 1400m your more likely to be about 80 to 90% in the right ball-park and 75 to 85% for 1500m to 1600m if you get the formula of time, recent placings, class, jockey, etc. working together well. A bit of micro-adjustment here and there over a few months can tune the method up quite well.
The method does allows for a lot of winners that are definitely hookable and you would be surprised at the amount of long-shots the method throws up to the surface. Great for an e/w dabble. I would keep the method away from heavy tracks and slow tracks can be a bit dodgy but often worthwhile.
Good luck with it.
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